Service 2 of 4 · Asset valuation & investment analysis

Energy asset valuation and battery storage revenue modelling.

Market-based revenue projections and valuation support for renewables, battery storage, thermal plant and interconnectors, so investment decisions rest on robust, defensible analysis.

What it is

What is this asset worth, and what could change that?

We translate market forecasts into the revenues a specific asset can expect to earn, reflecting its location, technology, operating constraints and route to market. That includes merchant revenues, contracted income and, for flexible assets, the stack of wholesale, balancing, ancillary and capacity revenues.

Our analysis supports developers, owners, investors and lenders at every stage, from early screening and PPA negotiation to investment committee and transaction due diligence, with sensitivities that show what really drives value.

Renewables, storage, thermal and interconnectors: revenues modelled from the market up.
Why it matters

The value to your business.

Asset-specific revenues

Location, technology, degradation and constraints are reflected, not averaged away.

Full revenue stack

Storage and flexible assets are valued across wholesale, balancing, ancillary and capacity markets.

Better PPA decisions

Capture prices and shape risk inform fair PPA pricing and route-to-market choices.

Investment-committee ready

Clear sensitivities and downside cases help decision-makers understand risk as well as return.

How we do it

Our method, step by step.

01
Asset and market definition
  • Characterise the asset: technology, location, constraints
  • Agree markets, revenue streams and contract structures
  • Align with the market scenarios to be used
02
Revenue modelling
  • Simulate asset dispatch against forecast prices
  • Optimise storage and flexible operation across revenue streams
  • Model capture prices, curtailment and shape risk
03
Valuation inputs and sensitivities
  • Produce revenue projections for financial models
  • Run sensitivities on key drivers and downside cases
  • Benchmark PPA and route-to-market options
04
Reporting and support
  • Prepare clear reports for boards and investment committees
  • Support negotiations and due diligence questions
  • Hand over models and assumptions for reuse
What you receive

Deliverables

Practical, reusable outputs that your team owns.

Asset revenue projections by stream
Battery storage revenue-stack analysis
PPA pricing and route-to-market benchmarks
Sensitivity and downside-case analysis
Inputs for financial models
Investment committee or due diligence report
When to engage us

Is this the right next step?

  • You are developing, acquiring or refinancing an energy asset
  • You need to price or negotiate a PPA
  • You are evaluating battery storage or hybrid projects
  • Lenders or investors require independent market analysis
Why Orivyn

Why clients choose us.

  • Market modelling and commercial insight under one roof
  • Independent, vendor-neutral analysis
  • Experience across renewables, storage and thermal assets
  • Clear outputs that feed straight into financial models

Planning a trading system change or a modelling project?

Book a 30-minute review with a senior consultant. We'll discuss your landscape, your priorities and the options available, with no obligation and no vendor agenda.